La escuela de los momios

Stevenage v Reading

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Predicción 47.55%2.10momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.93%47.49%47.44%49.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.971.952.0552.63%50.81%51.28%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Reading (Visitante)

Predicción 22.55%4.43momio equitativo
EV +3.51%
Ventaja +0.766%
Kelly +0.979%
Crecimiento +0.034%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.54%22.53%22.56%24.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.064.004.5926.67%24.61%25.00%21.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.90%3.34momio equitativo
EV -4.33%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -1.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.21%29.98%30.00%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.093.103.2034.48%32.39%32.26%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.03%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.94%EV +3.51%E +0.766%K +0.979%G +0.034%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV +1.48%E +0.330%K +0.424%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV +1.48%E +0.330%K +0.424%G +0.006%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:34
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -0.771%E -0.175%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.54%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -0.771%E -0.175%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.95%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-21 14:34
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.59%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.35%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:34
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.26%EV -9.66%E -5.08%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.18%EV -2.35%E -0.543%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.03%E -0.704%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:40
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:34
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.51%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.57%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:35
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 47.42%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.76%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 14:34
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 47.81%EV -8.70%E -4.53%K -9.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -4.15%E -0.977%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:34
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.74%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.17%EV -4.83%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -7.02%E -2.26%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:37
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:44
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 04:40
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.23%E -4.26%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:34
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:39
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.80%EV -9.18%E -4.81%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.93%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 14:39
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-21 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 04:40
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-21 09:55
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 06:40
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 04:49
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:34
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 04:59
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:34
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:34
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -9.79%E -2.45%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -13.30%E -4.58%K -7.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-21 14:34
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:19
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -2.52%E -1.23%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 14:19
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.81%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -5.82%E -1.85%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 04:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -4.90%E -2.45%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 08:10
Bet Right1.96I 51.02%NM 46.84%EV -6.80%E -3.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -7.28%E -3.73%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -12.05%E -3.09%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.31%E -3.44%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 08:14
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:18
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:19
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -3.95%E -1.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -13.17%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.32%E -2.36%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:19
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -5.85%E -2.96%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -15.43%E -4.11%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.81%E -2.89%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%1.1%2026-03-21 14:55
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.44%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.96%1.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.50%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.28%1.6%2026-03-21 14:35
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%3.0%2026-03-21 14:50