Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.80
assuming max odds 2.91
assuming max odds 3.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 36.10%; Oxford United (Visit): 33.61%; Draw: 30.28%. For Stevenage (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -12.61%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:27 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.81%EV -2.88%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.11%EV -2.19%E -0.752%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -6.89%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -8.54%E -2.83%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -10.36%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.40%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.40%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 04:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 04:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 04:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 04:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.60%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.60%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.52%E -0.871%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |