Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage v Oxford United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Score final : Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 36.10%2.77cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.607%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.72%36.13%36.16%37.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.572.552.8040.82%38.94%39.22%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Oxford United (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.61%2.98cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.74%33.53%33.57%36.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.752.752.9138.46%36.39%36.36%34.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.28%3.30cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.966%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.39%30.34%30.27%31.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.963.083.103.2033.78%32.47%32.26%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stevenage (Local) : 36.10% ; Oxford United (Visiteur) : 33.61% ; Match nul : 30.28%. Pour Stevenage (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.77. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +1.09%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV +1.09%E +0.390%K +0.607%G +0.007%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.31%EV -12.61%E -4.85%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-22 13:27
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.81%EV -2.88%E -1.07%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.11%EV -2.19%E -0.752%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.08%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:50
1xBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -4.32%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -6.89%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.96%EV -8.54%E -2.83%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:49
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:25
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 13:25
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:50
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:49
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -5.41%E -2.06%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -4.88%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.49%EV -10.36%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:10
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:09
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:09
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.09%E -0.966%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.40%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.40%EV -5.21%E -1.85%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:24
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 13:25
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -4.21%E -1.48%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:20
Neds🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -4.61%E -1.46%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:30
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:19
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.19%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 13:25
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:25
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 13:24
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 13:24
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.93%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.12%E -1.97%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 13:19
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -5.89%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 13:24
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 13:05
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 04:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 04:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 04:15
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.57%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 04:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:25
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.25%E -3.42%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:24
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:09
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.14%EV -10.93%E -4.12%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -7.63%E -2.50%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 13:10
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.60%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -11.60%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-22 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -11.54%E -4.71%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -2.52%E -0.871%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -9.15%E -3.05%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.83%1.3%2026-08-22 13:55
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-08-22 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-08-22 13:55