La scuola delle quote

Stevenage v Lincoln City

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Finale: Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln City

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Stevenage (Casa)

Previsione 31.34%3.19quota equa
EV +5.00%
Vantaggio +1.49%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.106%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.77%31.14%31.37%32.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.92%33.33%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lincoln City (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.72%2.65quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.25%37.87%37.64%41.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.382.402.5846.08%41.98%41.67%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.94%3.23quota equa
EV -0.984%
Vantaggio -0.307%
Kelly -0.447%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.41%31.00%30.99%32.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.45%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.55%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:46
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV +0.296%E +0.092%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -18.16%E -8.37%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.34%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.67%EV -5.66%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -11.19%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.81%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 14:00