L’École des cotes

Stevenage v Lincoln City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 14:02 UTC

Score final : Stevenage 2–2 Lincoln City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV +5.00%
Avantage +1.49%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.106%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.77%31.14%31.37%32.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.92%33.33%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.72%2.65cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.25%37.87%37.64%41.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.172.382.402.5846.08%41.98%41.67%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.94%3.23cote équitable
EV -0.984%
Avantage -0.307%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.41%31.00%30.99%32.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.45%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 14:00
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.55%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:46
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV +0.296%E +0.092%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -18.16%E -8.37%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 14:00
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 14:00
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:59
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:59
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.34%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.67%EV -5.66%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:59
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:59
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -11.19%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-18 13:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 14:00
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:59
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:59
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 13:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 14:00
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 14:00
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 14:00
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 14:00
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-18 13:59
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.81%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 13:59
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10%2.1%2026-04-18 14:00
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-04-18 14:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%2.9%2026-04-18 14:00