La escuela de los momiosStevenage v Lincoln City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stevenage (Local)
Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +1.49%
Kelly +2.13%
Crecimiento +0.106%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.77%31.14%31.37%32.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.003.3535.71%32.92%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lincoln City (Visitante)
Predicción 37.72%2.65momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.25%37.87%37.64%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.382.402.5846.08%41.98%41.67%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.94%3.23momio equitativo
EV -0.984%
Ventaja -0.307%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%31.00%30.99%32.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.45%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV +5.00%E +1.49%K +2.13%G +0.106% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetRivers | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.55%EV -15.90%E -7.13%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:46 |
| LeoVegas | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV +3.43%E +1.04%K +1.49%G +0.051% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Casumo | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV +1.86%E +0.573%K +0.828%G +0.015% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -17.03%E -7.74%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV +0.296%E +0.092%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -18.16%E -8.37%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetUS | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -2.84%E -0.916%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -6.47%E -2.61%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%EV -8.41%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -9.34%E -3.19%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.67%EV -5.66%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.38%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.95%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -0.984%E -0.307%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.63%E -1.84%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| betfred_uk | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.21%EV -11.19%E -3.90%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Neds | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -2.53%E -0.803%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -4.08%E -1.32%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.37%EV -2.70%E -1.04%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.49%EV -7.79%E -2.61%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.99%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.07%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.93%EV -6.55%E -2.17%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| TAB | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.72%E -2.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.17%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -10.27%E -3.54%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -9.73%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.91%E -5.42%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Everygame | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -10.67%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -5.71%E -2.28%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.81%E -4.15%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 13:59 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -9.48%E -3.95%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.89%E -3.78%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.81% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.10% | 2.1% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.91% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.80% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86% | 2.9% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |