Language:English
Stevenage v Leyton Orient
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stevenage (Local)
Prediction 50.46%1.98fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.00%50.57%50.49%53.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.851.9158.14%54.22%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leyton Orient (Visit)
Prediction 20.79%4.81fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.485%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.75%20.72%20.74%22.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.424.404.9023.81%22.64%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.71%28.76%30.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.223.203.4034.72%31.08%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 50.46%; Leyton Orient (Visit): 20.79%; Draw: 28.75%. For Leyton Orient (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.81. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -13.21%E -7.68%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +1.89%E +0.386%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.80%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.01%EV -0.394%E -0.082%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.27%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -2.27%E -0.482%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -2.27%E -0.482%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -10.69%E -6.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.15%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.27%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -8.16%E -4.48%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.00%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -9.96%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.63%EV -17.21%E -5.98%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.16%E -4.48%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -3.99%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.15%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |