La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Stevenage v Leyton Orient
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stevenage (Local)
Predicción 50.46%1.98momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -1.90%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.00%50.57%50.49%53.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.841.851.9158.14%54.22%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leyton Orient (Visitante)
Predicción 20.79%4.81momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.386%
Kelly +0.485%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.75%20.72%20.74%22.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.424.404.9023.81%22.64%22.73%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -0.666%
Kelly -0.944%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.44%28.71%28.76%30.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.223.203.4034.72%31.08%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -13.21%E -7.68%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV +1.89%E +0.386%K +0.485%G +0.009% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 18:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.80%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.01%EV -0.394%E -0.082%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -2.27%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -2.27%E -0.482%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -2.27%E -0.482%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.56%EV -4.57%E -1.38%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.23%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 19:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.47%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.60%EV -10.69%E -6.04%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -4.35%E -0.945%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.92%EV -3.62%E -1.90%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.45%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.76%EV -7.15%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.48%EV -5.72%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.27%E -0.666%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 17:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -8.16%E -4.48%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.42%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.38%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV -7.46%E -1.68%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.86%EV -5.13%E -2.73%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.26%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Everygame | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -8.50%E -1.93%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.65%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -9.54%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.00%EV -9.17%E -5.10%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -9.96%E -2.30%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.63%EV -17.21%E -5.98%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.29%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 19:38 |
| BetUS | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -8.16%E -4.48%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -10.58%E -2.46%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -3.02%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.00%EV -3.99%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.44%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.71%EV -7.66%E -4.18%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -11.62%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:05 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.45%EV -7.15%E -3.89%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -6.65%E -3.59%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -12.66%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.08% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.66% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.3% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |