Language:English
Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sheffield Wednesday (Local)
Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.32%33.61%33.70%35.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.782.9038.46%36.11%35.97%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stockport County FC (Visit)
Prediction 40.96%2.44fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.93%40.93%42.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.282.3546.51%43.91%43.86%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.39%3.94fair odd
EV -0.200%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.068%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.36%25.46%25.38%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.613.603.9329.85%27.73%27.78%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 33.64%; Stockport County FC (Visit): 40.96%; Draw: 25.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.93, with an expected value of -0.200%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 04:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.83%EV -4.79%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.81%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.36%EV -0.200%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 04:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -7.42%E -3.28%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.13%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-17 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -8.24%E -3.68%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-17 18:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-14 09:56 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 02:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 06:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-12 20:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-18 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-18 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-18 10:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-17 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-17 16:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 15:15 |