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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Sheffield Wednesday v Stockport County FC

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Stockport County FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 33.64%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.840%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.32%33.61%33.70%35.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.772.782.9038.46%36.11%35.97%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stockport County FC (Visitante)

Predicción 40.96%2.44momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.60%40.93%40.93%42.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.282.3546.51%43.91%43.86%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.39%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.200%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.068%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.36%25.46%25.38%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.613.603.9329.85%27.73%27.78%25.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 33.64%; Stockport County FC (Visitante): 40.96%; Empate: 25.39%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.93, con un valor esperado de -0.200%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 04:05
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 14:01
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -2.44%E -0.840%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 04:04
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -4.12%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:14
Pinnacle🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.83%EV -4.79%E -1.69%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.81%EV -6.19%E -2.71%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.36%EV -0.200%E -0.051%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 14:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 02:05
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 04:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:05
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 13:14
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 10:05
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 14:05
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:13
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -5.80%E -2.07%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.64%EV -10.70%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 04:05
1xBet🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.14%E -2.20%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -7.42%E -3.28%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.13%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:04
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.89%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.32%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.46%EV -6.47%E -2.33%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.53%EV -8.24%E -3.68%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 09:56
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 02:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:25
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 13:25
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 04:05
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -3.50%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 06:10
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-12 20:45
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:05
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.48%E -2.72%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-18 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 14:05
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 02:05
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.83%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-18 02:05
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.88%E -4.49%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -7.31%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-18 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:10
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -9.16%E -3.39%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -6.60%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -14.93%E -4.46%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-18 10:05
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.94%EV -11.86%E -4.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.36%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-17 17:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -12.53%E -4.82%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.86%0.6%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-18 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.52%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-18 15:15