Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday v Bradford City

2026-08-20 19:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 38.05%2.63fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.56%38.14%37.96%39.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.452.5043.48%41.14%40.82%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 34.55%2.89fair odd
EV -0.509%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.59%34.51%34.69%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.662.8840.00%37.52%37.66%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.41%3.65fair odd
EV +0.314%
Edge +0.086%
Kelly +0.118%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.92%27.36%27.35%28.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.373.403.6630.77%29.68%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 38.05%; Bradford City (Visit): 34.55%; Draw: 27.41%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.66, producing a positive expected value of +0.314%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.41%EV -6.03%E -2.44%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.67%EV -8.11%E -3.05%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.92%EV +0.314%E +0.086%K +0.118%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:19
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.24%EV -7.17%E -2.94%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.76%E -2.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.62%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.24%EV -7.17%E -2.94%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.76%E -2.91%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -4.62%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 19:19
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.509%E -0.177%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 19:04
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.18%E -3.92%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -4.88%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.64%E -5.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 18:54
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.45%E -3.19%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 18:19
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.49%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -5.00%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.73%E -2.49%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -11.73%E -5.06%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.27%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:55
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 19:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 19:45
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.49%E -3.62%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 19:44
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -13.64%E -5.45%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 18:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 38.86%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%17.0%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-15 19:20

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