Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Bradford City

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Prediction 34.97%2.86fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.38%35.08%34.92%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.07%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 37.54%2.66fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.96%37.45%37.56%38.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.492.502.6042.02%40.18%40.00%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.49%3.64fair odd
EV +0.887%
Edge +0.242%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.05%27.47%27.52%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.393.6731.25%29.82%29.50%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 34.97%; Bradford City (Visit): 37.54%; Draw: 27.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.887%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -6.98%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.50%EV -3.52%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.26%EV +0.887%E +0.242%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.8%2026-08-20 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.04%E -0.288%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 18:54
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 18:35
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.14%EV -6.98%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.84%E -1.39%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 13:58
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:44
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:49
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:59
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:59
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 17:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-20 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.28%E -2.34%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.09%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 18:00
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 18:54
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-20 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-20 18:45
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.49%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-20 18:54
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.36%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-20 18:55