Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sheffield Wednesday v Bradford City

Inicio: 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC

Final: Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Bradford City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Sheffield Wednesday (Local)

Predicción 34.97%2.86momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.38%35.08%34.92%36.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.632.632.7540.00%38.07%38.02%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bradford City (Visitante)

Predicción 37.54%2.66momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.96%37.45%37.56%38.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.492.502.6042.02%40.18%40.00%38.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.49%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.887%
Ventaja +0.242%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.05%27.47%27.52%28.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.393.6731.25%29.82%29.50%27.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sheffield Wednesday (Local): 34.97%; Bradford City (Visitante): 37.54%; Empate: 27.49%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.64. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.67, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.887%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -6.98%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.50%EV -3.52%E -1.37%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.26%EV +0.887%E +0.242%K +0.332%G +0.003%3.8%2026-08-20 18:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.04%E -0.288%K -0.399%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.79%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 17:55
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 18:54
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.16%E -1.50%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-20 18:35
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.14%EV -6.98%E -2.62%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.17%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 18:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -3.84%E -1.39%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 13:58
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.91%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.32%EV -2.39%E -0.920%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.39%EV -5.40%E -2.14%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:44
betano_uk🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:49
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 18:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:59
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 17:59
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 18:00
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.58%E -2.07%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 17:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.12%EV -8.03%E -3.05%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.71%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-20 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 18:24
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 17:54
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-20 18:25
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.65%E -4.48%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.54%E -1.92%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-20 18:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.80%EV -6.28%E -2.34%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -6.90%E -2.78%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.09%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 18:00
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 17:59
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.81%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 18:54
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.91%E -2.36%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-20 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-20 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.33%E -2.77%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.90%E -4.13%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.28%E -2.81%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:49
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:49
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.38%E -3.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.02%E -3.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-20 18:50
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -10.83%E -4.25%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.66%E -3.28%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -4.27%E -1.67%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-20 18:45
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.08%E -3.49%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-20 18:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -12.58%E -5.03%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.46%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -12.03%E -3.76%K -5.47%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-20 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 35.07%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.92%0.4%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.49%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-08-20 18:54
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21%0.7%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.20%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%0.7%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.36%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-08-20 18:55