Language:English
Rotherham United v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 23.93%4.18fair odd
EV +0.520%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.162%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.85%23.91%23.96%26.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.813.884.2028.57%26.23%25.81%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 45.96%2.18fair odd
EV -0.725%
Edge -0.336%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.39%46.03%45.96%47.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.042.022.1654.64%49.02%49.38%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.11%3.32fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.758%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.06%30.06%30.08%30.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.073.053.2434.72%32.59%32.79%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 23.93%; Stevenage (Visit): 45.96%; Draw: 30.11%. For Rotherham United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.520%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV +0.520%E +0.124%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.30%E -5.85%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -0.198%E -0.048%K -0.063%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.32%EV -6.70%E -3.30%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -1.87%E -0.457%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.87%E -0.457%K -0.604%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.02%EV -2.83%E -0.697%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.21%EV -9.00%E -4.54%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.86%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -15.89%E -8.68%K -19.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -13.29%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.45%E -3.09%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.56%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.56%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.23%E -4.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.23%E -4.64%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97% | 1.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03% | 4.1% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |