La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Stevenage

Inicio: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 23.93%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.520%
Ventaja +0.124%
Kelly +0.162%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.85%23.91%23.96%26.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.813.884.2028.57%26.23%25.81%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 45.96%2.18momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.336%
Kelly -0.625%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.39%46.03%45.96%47.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.042.022.1654.64%49.02%49.38%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.06%30.06%30.08%30.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.073.053.2434.72%32.59%32.79%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV +0.520%E +0.124%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.30%E -5.85%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Pinnacle4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -0.198%E -0.048%K -0.063%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.32%EV -6.70%E -3.30%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -1.87%E -0.457%K -0.604%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 13:55
SportsBet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -1.87%E -0.457%K -0.604%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:55
1xBet4.06I 24.63%NM 23.02%EV -2.83%E -0.697%K -0.925%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.21%EV -9.00%E -4.54%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.77%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Coral4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-03 13:45
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 13:54
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:55
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.27%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:45
DraftKings3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 13:50
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:44
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.46%E -1.38%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-03 13:45
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:44
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 13:45
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:55
TAB3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 13:44
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.66%E -1.71%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:49
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -7.86%E -2.04%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.95%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:44
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:45
theScore Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:45
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.05%E -2.38%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:45
PointsBet (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:54
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:55
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -10.25%E -2.73%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -15.89%E -8.68%K -19.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -13.29%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-03 13:54
Bet Right3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -11.45%E -3.09%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-03 13:50
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:49
Svenska Spel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:50
ATG (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -13.84%E -3.84%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.54%EV -0.725%E -0.336%K -0.625%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
TABtouch3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:49
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:49
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -1.64%E -0.768%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:50
BetRivers3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.56%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -15.04%E -4.24%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -2.56%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:50
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.23%E -4.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -16.23%E -4.64%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.11%0.6%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.97%1.1%2026-04-03 13:55
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%4.1%2026-04-03 13:55