Language:English
Rotherham United v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 28.75%3.48fair odd
EV +0.898%
Edge +0.256%
Kelly +0.358%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.13%28.73%28.70%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5133.33%31.15%31.25%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.57%44.56%44.56%46.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.092.102.1552.36%47.90%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.225%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.70%26.74%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.403.7233.33%29.03%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 28.75%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 44.54%; Draw: 26.72%. For Rotherham United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.898%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV +0.898%E +0.256%K +0.358%G +0.003% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.71%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -0.611%E -0.164%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.79%EV -4.56%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.79%EV -4.56%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 07:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.94%E -7.82%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-27 08:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.19%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.95%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-25 10:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 08:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-25 08:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.04%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-25 08:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:16 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01% | 1.4% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05% | 2.7% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |