Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rotherham United v Plymouth Argyle

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV +0.898%
Ventaja +0.256%
Kelly +0.358%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.13%28.73%28.70%30.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.5133.33%31.15%31.25%28.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Predicción 44.54%2.25momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.98%
Kelly -3.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%44.56%44.56%46.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.092.102.1552.36%47.90%47.62%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.72%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.225%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.70%26.74%28.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.403.7233.33%29.03%29.41%26.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rotherham United (Local): 28.75%; Plymouth Argyle (Visitante): 44.54%; Empate: 26.72%. Para Rotherham United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.48. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.51, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.898%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯3.51I 28.49%NM 27.42%EV +0.898%E +0.256%K +0.358%G +0.003%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.71%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.87%EV -0.611%E -0.164%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.79%EV -4.56%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 14:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.79%EV -4.56%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.66%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.55%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 15:05
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:00
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:00
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 07:39
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -14.94%E -7.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -19.85%E -6.62%K -9.92%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-27 08:34
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:54
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.12%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Neds🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -11.83%E -3.59%K -5.14%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:00
1xBet🎯3.21I 31.15%NM 29.19%EV -7.73%E -2.41%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.19%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -5.95%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:05
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.25%E -1.98%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -5.95%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:15
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:16
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:54
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:54
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:55
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:55
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:55
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-25 08:55
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 08:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -7.36%E -3.54%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 08:55
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 14:05
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:15
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-25 10:49
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:14
BetUS🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 08:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.07%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.50%E -3.13%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-25 08:54
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.04%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-25 08:29
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.82%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:59
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:16
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 14:15
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 14:05
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.49%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 14:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90%1.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.87%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%2.7%2026-02-28 14:15