Language:English
Rotherham United v Mansfield Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 36.26%2.76fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.30%36.27%36.30%37.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.532.502.7041.15%39.51%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mansfield Town (Visit)
Prediction 35.87%2.79fair odd
EV -0.649%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.367%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%35.91%35.87%36.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.612.602.7740.00%38.29%38.46%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.751%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.32%27.82%27.83%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.343.353.5230.77%29.97%29.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 36.26%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 35.87%; Draw: 27.87%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -0.649%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.09%E -0.775%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.09%E -0.775%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -4.27%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%EV -4.59%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.538%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.99%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 19:33 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.91%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-03 11:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.62%E -3.42%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.62%E -3.42%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.45%E -0.700%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 19:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -9.71%E -3.90%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -0.649%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -9.14%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:11 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -11.88%E -4.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -11.88%E -4.89%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-03 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.05% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.0% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |