La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Mansfield Town

Inicio: 2026-03-03 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 36.26%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.775%
Kelly -1.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.30%36.27%36.30%37.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.432.532.502.7041.15%39.51%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mansfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 35.87%2.79momio equitativo
EV -0.649%
Ventaja -0.234%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.76%35.91%35.87%36.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.612.602.7740.00%38.29%38.46%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.87%3.59momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.538%
Kelly -0.751%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.32%27.82%27.83%28.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.343.353.5230.77%29.97%29.85%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.09%E -0.775%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 19:30
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -2.09%E -0.775%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 19:30
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -4.27%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.19%EV -4.59%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.35%EV -1.89%E -0.538%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-03 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.99%EV -4.99%E -1.91%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.74%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-03 11:05
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-03 19:40
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 19:35
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-03 19:20
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.69%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 19:33
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:35
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -7.46%E -2.89%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -6.91%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-03 19:35
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 19:36
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-03 11:10
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.72%E -2.20%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:20
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:39
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-03 19:36
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:36
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.53%E -2.95%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:35
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.62%E -3.42%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:36
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -8.62%E -3.42%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 19:35
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:10
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:10
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.16%E -1.17%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.24%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 19:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-03 19:36
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.45%E -0.700%K -0.980%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-03 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 19:40
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.03%E -2.30%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:35
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:38
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:40
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-03 19:36
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.54%E -3.35%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -9.42%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-03 19:20
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.35%E -3.74%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.33%E -4.13%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-03 19:35
1xBet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.56%EV -9.71%E -3.90%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.76%EV -0.649%E -0.234%K -0.367%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -9.14%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 19:35
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:11
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -10.07%E -4.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -4.95%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -6.63%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -11.88%E -4.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:10
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -11.88%E -4.89%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -6.75%E -2.59%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-03 19:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.39%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-03 19:35
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-03-03 19:40