La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Rotherham United v Luton
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rotherham United (Casa)
Previsione 16.17%6.19quota equa
EV +5.08%
Vantaggio +0.782%
Kelly +0.925%
Crescita +0.047%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.07%16.20%16.12%18.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.685.756.5020.00%17.59%17.39%15.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Luton (Trasferta)
Previsione 62.38%1.60quota equa
EV -4.56%
Vantaggio -2.98%
Kelly -8.60%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.24%62.32%62.36%63.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.24%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.45%4.66quota equa
EV -1.32%
Vantaggio -0.287%
Kelly -0.367%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.51%21.48%21.53%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.284.254.6027.78%23.37%23.53%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +5.08%E +0.782%K +0.925%G +0.047% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Coolbet | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| 1xBet | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -2.84%E -0.472%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -9.69%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.68%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Bet Victor | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:43 |
| BetMGM | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| betfred_uk | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:43 |
| Betsson | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| NordicBet | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Neds | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| DraftKings | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| theScore Bet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Unibet | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:41 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Casumo | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| betPARX | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Bet Right | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Bovada | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:42 |
| BetUS | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Pinnacle | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.99%EV -9.79%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.36%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.65%EV -1.54%E -0.335%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Sky Bet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Paddy Power | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| TAB | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| 888sport | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| William Hill | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Betway | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| BoyleSports | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.70%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.12%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Everygame | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.77%E -6.33%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Smarkets | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| Matchbook | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95% | 2.3% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |