L’École des cotes

Rotherham United v Luton

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:47 UTC

Score final : Rotherham United 0–2 Luton

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Prévision 16.17%6.19cote équitable
EV +5.08%
Avantage +0.782%
Kelly +0.925%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.07%16.20%16.12%18.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.685.756.5020.00%17.59%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Luton (Visiteur)

Prévision 62.38%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.56%
Avantage -2.98%
Kelly -8.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%62.32%62.36%63.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.24%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.45%4.66cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.287%
Kelly -0.367%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.51%21.48%21.53%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.284.254.6027.78%23.37%23.53%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +5.08%E +0.782%K +0.925%G +0.047%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:45
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:44
1xBet6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -2.84%E -0.472%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -9.69%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.68%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:43
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:44
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:43
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:44
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:44
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:44
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:41
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:44
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:44
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:42
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 16.99%EV -9.79%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.36%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.65%EV -1.54%E -0.335%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:44
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:45
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:44
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:44
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:44
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:44
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:44
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 18:45
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.70%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.12%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:45
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:44
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.77%E -6.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-21 18:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-04-21 18:45