La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Luton

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:47 UTC

Final: Rotherham United 0–2 Luton

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 16.17%6.19momio equitativo
EV +5.08%
Ventaja +0.782%
Kelly +0.925%
Crecimiento +0.047%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.07%16.20%16.12%18.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.685.756.5020.00%17.59%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Luton (Visitante)

Predicción 62.38%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -2.98%
Kelly -8.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%62.32%62.36%63.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.24%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.45%4.66momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.287%
Kelly -0.367%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.51%21.48%21.53%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.284.254.6027.78%23.37%23.53%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +5.08%E +0.782%K +0.925%G +0.047%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 18:45
Coolbet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Betr (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +1.04%E +0.167%K +0.199%G +0.002%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.25%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:44
1xBet6.01I 16.64%NM 15.54%EV -2.84%E -0.472%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.19%EV -9.69%E -2.30%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:44
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.68%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.70%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -6.68%E -1.54%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Bet Victor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:43
BetMGM6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:45
PointsBet (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.70%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-21 18:44
betfred_uk6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -3.00%E -0.500%K -0.600%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:43
Betsson5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
NordicBet5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -4.62%E -0.782%K -0.942%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.09%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:44
Neds5.80I 17.24%NM 15.97%EV -6.23%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.44%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:44
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -1.32%E -0.287%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.97%EV -5.80%E -3.84%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Marathon Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.05%E -4.73%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:44
theScore Bet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.74%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Unibet5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
BetRivers5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:41
TABtouch5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Casumo5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Grosvenor5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:44
betPARX5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -7.04%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.28%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 18:44
LiveScore Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Bovada5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:42
BetUS5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.33%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.31%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Virgin Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet (NL)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -9.47%E -1.69%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.30%E -5.65%K -17.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:45
Pinnacle5.58I 17.92%NM 16.99%EV -9.79%E -1.75%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.36%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.65%EV -1.54%E -0.335%K -0.428%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 18:44
Sky Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -3.47%E -0.770%K -0.991%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:45
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -5.61%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:45
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:44
TAB5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:44
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:44
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:45
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:44
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-21 18:44
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -9.55%E -6.58%K -21.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -12.05%E -2.94%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.08%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -14.19%E -3.55%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 18:45
Codere (IT)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.79%EV -12.70%E -2.35%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.12%EV -8.92%E -6.11%K -19.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -7.76%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Fanatics5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.12%E -2.88%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.90%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:45
LowVig.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:44
BetOnline.ag5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -8.83%E -2.08%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:45
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.11%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.17%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -10.17%E -7.06%K -23.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.77%E -6.33%K -8.76%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-21 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.28%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.70%0.7%2026-04-21 18:45
Smarkets6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.15%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-04-21 18:45
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.57%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.95%2.3%2026-04-21 18:45