Language:English
Reading v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reading (Local)
Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.464%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%32.90%32.83%34.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.812.803.0038.17%35.62%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 40.28%2.48fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -0.874%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.71%40.27%40.28%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.11%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.647%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.239%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.82%26.89%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.11%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 32.87%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 40.28%; Draw: 26.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.647%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -1.39%E -0.464%K -0.696%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.647%E -0.175%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.96%EV -4.02%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.93%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -4.67%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -4.35%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -4.94%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -11.12%E -3.36%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.54%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.54%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.67%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 11:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -5.99%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -5.75%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.24%E -2.73%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.647%E -0.175%K -0.239%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -19.44%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |