La escuela de los momios

Reading v Plymouth Argyle

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reading (Local)

Predicción 32.87%3.04momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.464%
Kelly -0.696%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%32.90%32.83%34.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.812.803.0038.17%35.62%35.71%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Predicción 40.28%2.48momio equitativo
EV -2.12%
Ventaja -0.874%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.71%40.27%40.28%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.302.4345.45%43.11%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.85%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.239%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.44%26.82%26.89%29.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.443.403.7033.33%29.11%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -1.39%E -0.464%K -0.696%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.41%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -0.647%E -0.175%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-13 11:20
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 32.96%EV -4.02%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.93%EV -2.93%E -1.22%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -4.67%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.13%EV -4.35%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.62%EV -4.94%E -2.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.25%EV -11.12%E -3.36%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.54%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.39%EV -4.54%E -1.92%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.59%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -4.67%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:44
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:35
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:45
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 11:20
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -4.68%E -1.61%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -11.39%E -5.18%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.33%E -0.926%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 11:19
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -5.99%E -2.10%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.83%EV -5.75%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.24%E -2.73%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -0.647%E -0.175%K -0.239%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:40
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:25
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:25
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -2.12%E -0.874%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:25
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:40
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:35
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-13 18:40
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:38
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:40
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -8.62%E -3.10%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.36%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.33%E -1.39%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:25
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -4.14%E -1.74%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.04%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:25
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.02%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:40
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.36%E -3.20%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -5.35%E -2.27%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.39%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -11.25%E -4.17%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -19.44%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -13.88%E -5.30%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.37%E -4.17%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.70%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.23%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.24%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.38%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.35%1.2%2026-03-14 14:55