The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Reading v Bradford City

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Reading (Local)

Prediction 40.90%2.44fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.80%41.05%42.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.272.3046.51%44.35%43.96%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 30.25%3.31fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.890%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.23%30.35%30.01%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.043.103.2434.48%32.85%32.26%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.562%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.72%28.85%28.93%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.213.243.4032.26%31.15%30.91%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Reading (Local): 40.90%; Bradford City (Visit): 30.25%; Draw: 28.85%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -1.91%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.91%E -0.562%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 15:29
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 16:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.36%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.23%EV -1.99%E -0.615%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -7.10%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 15:25
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.59%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.40%EV -8.26%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 18:06
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.13%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.68%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-26 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.18%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.27%EV -8.26%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.91%E -0.562%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:29
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.12%E -2.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.68%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.35%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-26 14:42
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 39.79%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%16.3%2026-09-26 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-09-26 18:45