Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading v Bradford City

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — League 1

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Reading (Local)

Previsão 40.90%2.44odd justa
EV -5.93%
Vantagem -2.58%
Kelly -4.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.45%40.80%41.05%42.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.252.272.3046.51%44.35%43.96%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bradford City (Visitante)

Previsão 30.25%3.31odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.615%
Kelly -0.890%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.23%30.35%30.01%31.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.043.103.2434.48%32.85%32.26%30.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.85%3.47odd justa
EV -1.91%
Vantagem -0.562%
Kelly -0.796%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.72%28.85%28.93%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.213.243.4032.26%31.15%30.91%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Reading (Local): 40.90%; Bradford City (Visitante): 30.25%; Empate: 28.85%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.40, com valor esperado de -1.91%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.91%E -0.562%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-26 15:29
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -10.77%E -3.65%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-26 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-26 16:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.93%E -2.58%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-26 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.36%EV -6.34%E -2.77%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.23%EV -1.99%E -0.615%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.41%EV -7.10%E -2.21%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-26 15:25
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 14:20
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.75%E -2.96%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.59%EV -4.41%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.40%EV -8.26%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 18:06
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.13%EV -7.15%E -3.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -12.28%E -4.23%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.68%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-26 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.18%EV -7.56%E -3.35%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.27%EV -8.26%E -2.60%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-26 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -1.91%E -0.562%K -0.796%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-26 15:29
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-26 15:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -9.12%E -2.90%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-26 19:10
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.68%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-26 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-26 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.97%E -3.54%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-26 15:30
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -4.72%E -1.50%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -3.35%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-26 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -10.02%E -4.55%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-26 14:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.23%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -4.79%E -1.45%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-26 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.06%E -5.61%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.25%E -3.08%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.56%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-26 14:42
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 39.79%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.37%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.84%16.3%2026-09-26 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-26 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-09-26 19:15