Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 40.88%; Blackpool (Visit): 32.84%; Draw: 26.27%. For Blackpool (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.82%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.51%E -5.84%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -14.14%E -6.73%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.47%E -0.489%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -14.14%E -6.73%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.47%E -0.489%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.53%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.94%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -2.53%E -0.683%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.60%E -3.36%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.53%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.74%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -9.24%E -4.16%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.170%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.05%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-02 13:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |