La escuela de los momios

Reading v Blackpool

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Reading 0–1 Blackpool

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Reading (Local)

Predicción 40.88%2.45momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.82%41.00%40.88%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3847.62%44.67%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Blackpool (Visitante)

Predicción 32.84%3.04momio equitativo
EV +1.82%
Ventaja +0.586%
Kelly +0.866%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.39%32.72%32.85%33.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.833.1037.04%34.73%35.40%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.27%3.81momio equitativo
EV -0.170%
Ventaja -0.045%
Kelly -0.061%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.57%26.27%26.28%27.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.543.553.8029.85%28.23%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -11.28%E -5.20%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV +1.82%E +0.586%K +0.866%G +0.016%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:56
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.28%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.51%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -12.51%E -5.84%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:55
BetRivers2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV +0.175%E +0.057%K +0.086%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -14.14%E -6.73%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.47%E -0.489%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:56
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -14.14%E -6.73%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.47%E -0.489%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -4.09%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:34
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.30%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.61%EV -7.53%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.39%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.94%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.66%EV -2.53%E -0.683%K -0.935%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.25%EV -7.60%E -3.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.26%EV -5.08%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.53%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:45
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -6.78%E -2.98%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.74%E -2.00%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:50
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.37%EV -3.92%E -1.67%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.96%EV -9.24%E -4.16%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.90%EV -6.39%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -11.99%E -3.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:40
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -2.69%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:38
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:54
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:50
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:53
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:40
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -0.170%E -0.045%K -0.061%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.97%E -2.59%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:50
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.01%E -3.56%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -10.05%E -4.57%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 13:35
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -12.10%E -5.63%K -10.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -11.32%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 13:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-05-02 13:56
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.58%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.78%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55