Language:English
Port Vale v Wigan Athletic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.500%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%29.11%28.95%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.32%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wigan Athletic (Visit)
Prediction 40.72%2.46fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.35%40.67%40.77%41.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.282.3845.45%43.83%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.22%3.31fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%30.23%30.28%31.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.083.103.2533.90%32.51%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 29.06%; Wigan Athletic (Visit): 40.72%; Draw: 30.22%. For Port Vale (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.27%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.46%EV -3.09%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.548%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -5.94%E -2.57%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -8.73%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -5.12%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.38%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.38%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.42%E -4.73%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.42%E -4.73%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.60%E -4.32%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.09%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |