La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Wigan Athletic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 29.06%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.69%29.11%28.95%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.32%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wigan Athletic (Visitante)
Predicción 40.72%2.46momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.35%40.67%40.77%41.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.282.282.3845.45%43.83%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.22%3.31momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.791%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.23%30.28%31.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.083.103.2533.90%32.51%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -1.20%E -0.353%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-19 13:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -4.11%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.85%E -3.68%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| Pinnacle | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.27%EV -4.40%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.46%EV -3.09%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.28%EV -3.90%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| Coral | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -1.78%E -0.548%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.02%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.23%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -4.80%E -1.52%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:54 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.56%E -1.71%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -5.85%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.36%EV -5.94%E -2.57%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.87%EV -8.73%E -2.89%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -6.14%E -1.90%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.16%EV -5.12%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -8.43%E -2.78%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.29%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-19 13:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| William Hill | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:10 |
| 888sport | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:31 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 07:30 |
| BetUS | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.01%E -2.19%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.38%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.53%E -2.38%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-19 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.42%E -4.73%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.42%E -4.73%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.82%E -2.57%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -8.47%E -2.69%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -9.60%E -4.32%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -3.09%E -1.30%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -4.31%E -1.83%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:55 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.92%E -3.20%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.34%E -3.11%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.34%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-19 13:49 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.82%E -4.27%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.38%E -3.72%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.31%E -2.04%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Matchbook | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.82% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08% | 0.6% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-04-19 13:35 |