Language:English
Port Vale v Rotherham United
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 36.59%2.73fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.39%36.66%36.60%38.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.542.552.6441.67%39.38%39.22%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rotherham United (Visit)
Prediction 34.30%2.92fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.83%34.29%34.25%35.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.702.8238.46%37.06%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.741%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.11%29.05%29.15%30.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.3534.72%31.37%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 36.59%; Rotherham United (Visit): 34.30%; Draw: 29.11%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.35, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.48%EV -3.40%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.77%EV -4.99%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -2.48%E -0.741%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 18:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 18:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -8.08%E -3.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -8.08%E -3.01%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.26%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -7.06%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.07%EV -6.02%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-07 18:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-07 18:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-07 18:28 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.35%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.18%E -5.08%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.18%E -5.08%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.35%EV -16.16%E -5.61%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-07 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65% | 0.7% | 2026-04-07 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |