La escuela de los momios

Port Vale v Rotherham United

Inicio: 2026-04-07 18:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Predicción 36.59%2.73momio equitativo
EV -3.40%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.39%36.66%36.60%38.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.542.552.6441.67%39.38%39.22%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rotherham United (Visitante)

Predicción 34.30%2.92momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.83%34.29%34.25%35.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.702.702.8238.46%37.06%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.741%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.11%29.05%29.15%30.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.3534.72%31.37%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.48%EV -3.40%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.77%EV -4.99%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -2.48%E -0.741%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 18:40
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%EV -3.27%E -1.16%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-07 18:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.13%E -1.58%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-07 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 18:30
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 18:30
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 18:05
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 18:05
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 18:04
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -4.86%E -1.87%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 18:23
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -8.08%E -3.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 18:40
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -8.08%E -3.01%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 18:40
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.26%EV -5.60%E -2.17%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -4.23%E -1.29%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-07 18:40
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.34%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 18:30
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 18:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 18:30
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-07 18:35
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:05
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:09
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:05
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:05
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:10
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:10
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-07 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 18:30
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 18:30
Neds2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:10
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:10
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -6.69%E -2.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.11%E -3.44%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-07 18:40
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.75%EV -7.06%E -2.78%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.07%EV -6.02%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-07 18:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -3.94%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-07 18:34
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-07 18:35
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-07 18:39
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.05%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 18:30
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:38
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:34
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:34
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:35
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:35
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-07 18:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -6.85%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-07 18:30
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 18:39
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.30%E -2.64%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-07 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-07 18:10
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-07 18:09
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.52%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.82%E -4.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-07 18:28
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -10.35%E -4.23%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -3.96%E -1.41%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-07 18:34
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -12.18%E -5.08%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -7.39%E -2.74%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.18%E -5.08%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.23%EV -9.79%E -3.72%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.35%EV -16.16%E -5.61%K -8.60%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-07 18:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-04-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-04-07 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-04-07 18:40
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.56%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.65%0.7%2026-04-07 18:40
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%1.9%2026-04-07 18:35