Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Vale v Huddersfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Vale (Local)

Prediction 22.69%4.41fair odd
EV -0.156%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.046%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.28%22.67%22.64%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.78%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Huddersfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.743%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.35%50.02%50.09%52.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.17%53.19%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.463%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%27.31%27.27%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.373.403.6231.25%29.66%29.41%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 22.69%; Huddersfield Town (Visit): 50.02%; Draw: 27.29%. For Port Vale (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.40, with an expected value of -0.156%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.156%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.488%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -0.156%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:44
SportsBet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -1.74%E -0.403%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -1.74%E -0.403%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Pinnacle🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -2.43%E -0.564%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.54%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.488%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -5.03%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:30
NordicBet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:30
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
BetUS🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:15
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:19
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Everygame🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:15
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:14
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -1.96%E -1.00%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -2.96%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -2.96%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.91%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.91%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-03-14 14:55