La escuela de los momios

Port Vale v Huddersfield Town

Inicio: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Predicción 22.69%4.41momio equitativo
EV -0.156%
Ventaja -0.035%
Kelly -0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.28%22.67%22.64%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.044.004.4026.67%24.78%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Huddersfield Town (Visitante)

Predicción 50.02%2.00momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.743%
Kelly -1.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.35%50.02%50.09%52.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.881.881.9755.56%53.17%53.19%50.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.335%
Kelly -0.463%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%27.31%27.27%28.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.373.403.6231.25%29.66%29.41%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -0.156%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -1.76%E -0.488%K -0.676%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -0.156%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:44
SportsBet4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -1.74%E -0.403%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Paddy Power4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -1.74%E -0.403%K -0.524%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.00%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Pinnacle4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -2.43%E -0.564%K -0.735%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.11%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.54%EV -1.21%E -0.335%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:40
BetOnline.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -3.56%E -0.838%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-14 14:15
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.76%E -0.488%K -0.676%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:45
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.69%E -1.12%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet4.19I 23.87%NM 22.32%EV -4.92%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.82%EV -7.97%E -4.33%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.87%EV -5.03%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.50%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.20%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.30%EV -6.67%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:30
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -5.83%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:30
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:15
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.44%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:35
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -6.96%E -1.70%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:55
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -6.46%E -3.46%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:15
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:50
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:19
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.47%E -4.63%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -9.23%E -2.31%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -9.97%E -5.54%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.37%E -2.62%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.36%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:15
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -4.46%E -2.34%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:14
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.50%E -2.95%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.47%E -4.04%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:29
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.42%EV -1.46%E -0.743%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.55%EV -1.96%E -1.00%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.68%EV -2.46%E -1.26%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:30
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -12.64%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.38%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -2.96%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.77%E -3.62%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -2.96%E -1.53%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.91%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.91%E -3.97%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -12.67%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-14 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.12%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.69%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.19%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.70I 21.28%NM 21.00%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-03-14 14:55