Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale

Начало: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (18 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Plymouth Argyle (Хозяева)

Прогноз 69.90%1.43справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.54%
Преимущество -2.57%
Kelly -9.32%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.38

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
67.44%69.92%69.92%72.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.251.331.331.3880.00%74.91%75.19%72.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Port Vale (Гости)

Прогноз 11.17%8.95справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.38%
Преимущество +0.958%
Kelly +1.07%
Рост +0.100%

при максимальном коэффициенте 9.79

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
9.63%11.16%11.18%12.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
7.508.038.009.7913.33%12.45%12.50%10.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 18.93%5.28справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.235%
Преимущество -0.045%
Kelly -0.055%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.88%18.92%18.90%20.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.844.805.2723.81%20.68%20.83%18.98%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Plymouth Argyle (Хозяева): 69.90%; Port Vale (Гости): 11.17%; Ничья: 18.93%. Для исхода «Port Vale (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 8.95. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 9.79, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.38%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.49%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%9.79I 10.21%NM 9.63%EV +9.38%E +0.958%K +1.07%G +0.100%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.88%EV -0.235%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +0.555%E +0.062%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 14:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 13:09
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:09
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:08
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:24
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Everygame🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.63%E -10.10%K -50.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:23
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:26
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:09
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:25
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.96%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:34
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -8.19%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 19:35
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 13:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.29%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%2.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.11%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%3.5%2026-04-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50