مدرسة الاحتمالات

Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale

البداية: 2026-04-25 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (المضيف)

التنبؤ 69.90%1.43السعر العادل
EV -3.54%
الأفضلية -2.57%
Kelly -9.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
67.44%69.92%69.92%72.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.331.331.3880.00%74.91%75.19%72.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Port Vale (الضيف)

التنبؤ 11.17%8.95السعر العادل
EV +9.38%
الأفضلية +0.958%
Kelly +1.07%
النمو +0.100%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.79

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
9.63%11.16%11.18%12.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.508.038.009.7913.33%12.45%12.50%10.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 18.93%5.28السعر العادل
EV -0.235%
الأفضلية -0.045%
Kelly -0.055%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.88%18.92%18.90%20.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.204.844.805.2723.81%20.68%20.83%18.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 72.49%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%9.79I 10.21%NM 9.63%EV +9.38%E +0.958%K +1.07%G +0.100%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.88%EV -0.235%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 18:30
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +0.555%E +0.062%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:34
Unibet (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 14:30
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 13:09
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:09
betfred_uk1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:09
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 13:08
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 14:24
Coolbet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 13:10
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 13:09
Tipico (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:19
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:59
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.63%E -10.10%K -50.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-23 12:50
NordicBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:25
Betsson1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:24
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:23
1xBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 18:30
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:35
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:19
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:26
BetUS1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 18:24
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:10
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 13:09
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:25
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 13:10
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:20
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.96%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:34
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:35
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -8.19%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 12:35
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 19:35
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:35
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:35
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 19:35
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 19:35
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 19:35
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 13:10
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.35I 74.07%NM 72.29%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41%2.5%2026-04-23 22:55
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 72.11%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23%3.5%2026-04-23 19:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22%3.6%2026-04-24 03:50