La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Plymouth Argyle v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Predicción 69.90%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -2.57%
Kelly -9.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%69.92%69.92%72.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.331.331.3880.00%74.91%75.19%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 11.17%8.95momio equitativo
EV +9.38%
Ventaja +0.958%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.100%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.63%11.16%11.18%12.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.508.038.009.7913.33%12.45%12.50%10.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.93%5.28momio equitativo
EV -0.235%
Ventaja -0.045%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.88%18.92%18.90%20.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.844.805.2723.81%20.68%20.83%18.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.49%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 9.79I 10.21%NM 9.63%EV +9.38%E +0.958%K +1.07%G +0.100% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.88%EV -0.235%E -0.045%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.05%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV +0.555%E +0.062%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 12:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.99%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.44%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.03%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 13:08 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 14:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.46%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.18%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.92%E -2.81%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.91%EV -12.63%E -10.10%K -50.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.43%EV -5.03%E -0.592%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.66%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 12:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| Betsson | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.27%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.90%EV -6.29%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.11%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.24%EV -7.27%E -0.875%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:23 |
| 1xBet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.91%EV -6.34%E -4.73%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.35%EV -7.82%E -0.948%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.50%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 13:19 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 18:26 |
| BetUS | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| Bet Right | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -8.44%E -6.44%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -10.62%E -1.33%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.09%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.35%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.96%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.67%EV -12.85%E -1.65%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.41%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.00%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 16:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -13.41%E -1.73%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -8.19%E -1.69%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 12:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -3.54%E -2.57%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.24%E -1.48%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.27%EV -4.94%E -3.63%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -9.13%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.64%E -4.18%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -7.04%E -5.29%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.03%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 19:35 |
| TAB | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -7.74%E -5.86%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.08%E -2.12%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.44%EV -9.13%E -7.03%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.69%EV -16.20%E -2.16%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.87%EV -20.49%E -4.88%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 13:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.29% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.29% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.41% | 2.5% | 2026-04-23 22:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.11% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.23% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.51% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.27% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |