Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 39.75%2.52fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.02%39.74%39.79%43.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.302.302.4648.08%43.43%43.48%40.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bradford City (Visit)
Prediction 33.26%3.01fair odd
EV +1.45%
Edge +0.476%
Kelly +0.708%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%33.23%33.25%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.803.0537.74%35.32%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.99%3.70fair odd
EV -0.132%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.049%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%27.02%26.96%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.11%28.99%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 39.75%; Bradford City (Visit): 33.26%; Draw: 26.99%. For Bradford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.45%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.10%EV -17.33%E -8.33%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.10%EV -17.33%E -8.33%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.98%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.710%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 13:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.02%EV -2.22%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -6.53%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -12.01%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.132%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.79%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.79%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 13:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.81% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.44% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.75% | -0.3% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52% | 0.5% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.24% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |