Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle v Bradford City

Início: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

Final: Plymouth Argyle 2–0 Bradford City

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Previsão 39.75%2.52odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.904%
Kelly -1.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.02%39.74%39.79%43.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.082.302.302.4648.08%43.43%43.48%40.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bradford City (Visitante)

Previsão 33.26%3.01odd justa
EV +1.45%
Vantagem +0.476%
Kelly +0.708%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.68%33.23%33.25%34.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.832.803.0537.74%35.32%35.71%32.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.99%3.70odd justa
EV -0.132%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.049%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.29%27.02%26.96%28.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.443.453.7030.77%29.11%28.99%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 39.75%; Bradford City (Visitante): 33.26%; Empate: 26.99%. Para Bradford City (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.01. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.05, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.45%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -13.75%E -6.34%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV +1.45%E +0.476%K +0.708%G +0.010%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:15
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -16.53%E -7.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -1.87%E -0.636%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.10%EV -17.33%E -8.33%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.10%EV -17.33%E -8.33%K -16.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.91%EV -3.54%E -1.22%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.99%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-29 13:15
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.98%EV -4.21%E -1.75%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.34%EV -3.87%E -1.34%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.69%EV -2.56%E -0.710%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-29 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.20%E -1.82%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.98%EV -5.87%E -2.07%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -7.69%E -2.25%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-29 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.31%EV -6.20%E -2.20%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:35
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.02%EV -2.22%E -0.904%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.29%EV -6.53%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.69%EV -12.01%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:15
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:38
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 13:20
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 13:35
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -6.60%E -2.81%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 13:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 13:35
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -6.86%E -2.45%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:25
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:25
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -0.132%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:20
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:20
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -2.83%E -0.787%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:15
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:45
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.40%E -2.27%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:20
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.79%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:35
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -7.79%E -3.36%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.61%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-29 13:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.58%E -3.73%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -8.53%E -3.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-29 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -2.62%E -1.07%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:25
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.36%EV -5.80%E -2.45%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.97%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-29 13:20
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.57%E -4.70%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.19%E -3.77%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -4.61%E -1.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -11.85%E -4.47%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-29 13:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 39.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.75%-0.3%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%0.5%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.26%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.62%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%1.0%2026-08-29 13:55