Language:English
Peterborough United v Port Vale
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 47.12%2.12fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.39%47.06%47.05%49.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.84%50.51%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Port Vale (Visit)
Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -0.143%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.82%26.94%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.403.7232.26%29.11%29.41%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.04%3.84fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.24%26.12%26.02%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.58%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 47.12%; Port Vale (Visit): 26.84%; Draw: 26.04%. For Port Vale (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.72, with an expected value of -0.143%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.61%EV -5.29%E -2.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.34%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 05:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 05:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.96%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:08 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 05:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 05:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.36%E -0.628%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -16.79%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.88%E -7.29%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.47%E -5.51%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 11:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -11.89%E -6.36%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.83%E -6.94%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -13.77%E -7.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-03 22:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70% | 17.1% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.29% | 185.9% | 2026-03-05 10:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.29% | 185.9% | 2026-03-05 10:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-05 10:30 |