La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Peterborough United v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Peterborough United (Local)
Predicción 47.12%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%47.06%47.05%49.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.982.0554.64%50.84%50.51%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 26.84%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.82%26.94%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.433.403.7232.26%29.11%29.41%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.04%3.84momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.628%
Kelly -0.857%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.24%26.12%26.02%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7533.33%28.58%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -3.41%E -1.66%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.41%EV -4.82%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.41%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.61%EV -5.29%E -2.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.34%E -2.37%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 05:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 17:00 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:39 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.76%E -2.88%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -14.07%E -4.26%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 09:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -6.71%E -3.39%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 05:03 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 15:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.96%E -1.36%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 23:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 05:01 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 05:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.56%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.01%EV -9.06%E -4.70%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.17%E -2.95%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.31%EV -9.53%E -4.96%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -2.36%E -0.628%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -10.00%E -5.24%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -16.79%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -21.88%E -7.29%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-02-28 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.47%E -5.51%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -6.26%E -1.74%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 11:04 |
| BetUS | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -11.89%E -6.36%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -12.83%E -6.94%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -11.47%E -3.37%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -13.77%E -7.53%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -7.39%E -2.14%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -8.87%E -2.53%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-03 22:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 46.18% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.12% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.70% | 17.1% | 2026-03-04 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.29% | 185.9% | 2026-03-05 10:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.63% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 32.09% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 34.29% | 185.9% | 2026-03-05 10:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-05 10:30 |