A Escola das Odds

Peterborough United v Port Vale

Início: 2026-04-16 18:45 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 1–3 Port Vale

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 58.46%1.71odd justa
EV -4.71%
Vantagem -2.89%
Kelly -7.47%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.06%58.40%58.52%59.94%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.591.601.6366.67%62.79%62.50%61.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Port Vale (Visitante)

Previsão 17.98%5.56odd justa
EV +0.493%
Vantagem +0.088%
Kelly +0.107%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.59

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.88%18.05%17.97%20.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.515.025.005.5922.17%19.94%20.00%17.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.56%4.24odd justa
EV +1.78%
Vantagem +0.412%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.62%23.55%23.51%24.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.963.994.3228.57%25.23%25.06%23.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -18.92%E -4.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.62%EV +1.78%E +0.412%K +0.536%G +0.010%7.0%2026-04-16 18:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.05%E -0.250%K -0.328%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.50%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.14%EV +0.493%E +0.088%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 18:30
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 18:13
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:20
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:15
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:15
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:15
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.23%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:40
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:39
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:39
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 18:20
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:20
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 18:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:25
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 18:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:25
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:19
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-16 18:20
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 18:25
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 18:19
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.85%EV -12.31%E -8.20%K -24.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -17.54%E -5.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-16 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:40
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%2.5%2026-04-16 18:40