La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Peterborough United v Port Vale
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Peterborough United (Local)
Predicción 58.46%1.71momio equitativo
EV -4.71%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -7.47%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.06%58.40%58.52%59.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6366.67%62.79%62.50%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Port Vale (Visitante)
Predicción 17.98%5.56momio equitativo
EV +0.493%
Ventaja +0.088%
Kelly +0.107%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.88%18.05%17.97%20.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.515.025.005.5922.17%19.94%20.00%17.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.56%4.24momio equitativo
EV +1.78%
Ventaja +0.412%
Kelly +0.536%
Crecimiento +0.010%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%23.55%23.51%24.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.963.994.3228.57%25.23%25.06%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -18.92%E -4.20%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 21.62%EV +1.78%E +0.412%K +0.536%G +0.010% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.05%E -0.250%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.50%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.59I 17.89%NM 17.14%EV +0.493%E +0.088%K +0.107%G +0.001% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 18:13 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-16 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.23%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:39 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 18:19 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.85%EV -12.31%E -8.20%K -24.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -17.54%E -5.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-16 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.23% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23% | 2.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |