L’École des cotes

Peterborough United v Port Vale

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 18:45 UTC

Score final : Peterborough United 1–3 Port Vale

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Peterborough United (Local)

Prévision 58.46%1.71cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -2.89%
Kelly -7.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.06%58.40%58.52%59.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.591.601.6366.67%62.79%62.50%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Port Vale (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.98%5.56cote équitable
EV +0.493%
Avantage +0.088%
Kelly +0.107%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.88%18.05%17.97%20.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.515.025.005.5922.17%19.94%20.00%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.56%4.24cote équitable
EV +1.78%
Avantage +0.412%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.62%23.55%23.51%24.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.963.994.3228.57%25.23%25.06%23.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.66%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.71%EV -18.92%E -4.20%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 21.62%EV +1.78%E +0.412%K +0.536%G +0.010%7.0%2026-04-16 18:40
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -10.55%E -6.90%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -1.05%E -0.250%K -0.328%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.50%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.14%EV +0.493%E +0.088%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 18:30
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 18:13
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.57%EV -4.71%E -2.89%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -14.61%E -3.08%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -3.40%E -0.830%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:20
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:25
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:20
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -1.12%E -0.204%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:15
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.30%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -15.51%E -3.30%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-16 18:15
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-16 18:15
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -17.30%E -3.76%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -5.76%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-16 18:15
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.52%E -1.25%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -6.23%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:40
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -4.72%E -0.891%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:39
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -5.29%E -3.27%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -11.01%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.94%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:39
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.87%E -3.65%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 18:20
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:25
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:20
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 57.79%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.49%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:20
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 57.95%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 18:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:40
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.41%EV -8.80%E -5.64%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:25
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -8.21%E -5.23%K -14.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -13.71%E -2.86%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 18:40
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 57.92%EV -7.63%E -4.83%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -9.29%E -2.41%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 18:25
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -7.04%E -4.43%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:19
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:40
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.47%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-16 18:20
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-16 18:25
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.53%EV -9.38%E -6.05%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -5.62%E -1.07%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -11.65%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-16 18:19
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.46%E -4.04%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -12.83%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.85%EV -12.31%E -8.20%K -24.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -10.11%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -17.54%E -5.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-16 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-04-16 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:20
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90%1.6%2026-04-16 18:40
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.23%2.5%2026-04-16 18:40