Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.87
assuming max odds 2.76
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 33.80%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 40.05%; Draw: 26.14%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.76, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.54%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -20.22%E -8.57%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV +10.54%E +3.82%K +5.99%G +0.631% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -1.88%E -0.766%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -1.88%E -0.766%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.19%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -2.98%E -1.04%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.97%EV -3.48%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.46%EV -4.83%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.88%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.54%EV -4.68%E -1.97%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.96%EV -5.08%E -2.14%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -6.70%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.48%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -6.70%E -2.43%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.83%EV -5.48%E -2.32%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.40%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -1.96%E -0.522%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.61%EV -5.69%E -2.04%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.49%EV -7.45%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 07:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-17 07:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-20 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -5.88%E -2.50%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.66%EV -6.36%E -2.30%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -6.28%E -2.68%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.97%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -12.11%E -4.66%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -6.68%E -2.87%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.74%EV -7.08%E -3.05%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -9.80%E -2.84%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -1.96%E -0.522%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -3.66%E -1.28%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.96%E -0.522%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -11.09%E -4.22%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -7.88%E -3.43%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.35%E -1.91%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -3.26%E -0.882%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -8.73%E -3.23%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -4.57%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.43%E -4.36%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.89%E -4.39%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.11%E -3.27%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-20 09:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -0.650%E -0.171%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -7.04%E -2.56%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -11.89%E -5.40%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.88%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.84% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 13:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.72% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |