Language:English
Peterborough United v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 41.35%2.42fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.03%41.29%41.44%42.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.42%44.44%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 32.70%3.06fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.68%32.73%32.64%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.852.852.9537.04%35.09%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -0.874%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.71%25.98%25.91%27.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.503.7632.26%28.27%28.57%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 41.35%; Exeter City (Visit): 32.70%; Draw: 25.95%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.76, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32%EV -3.66%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -4.49%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -4.49%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 10:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-21 09:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 09:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 09:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 09:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 10:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.54%E -6.30%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.31% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.35% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |