La escuela de los momios

Peterborough United v Exeter City

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Peterborough United (Local)

Predicción 41.35%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.03%41.29%41.44%42.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.252.252.3347.62%44.42%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Exeter City (Visitante)

Predicción 32.70%3.06momio equitativo
EV -3.54%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.68%32.73%32.64%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.852.852.9537.04%35.09%35.09%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -0.642%
Kelly -0.874%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.71%25.98%25.91%27.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.7632.26%28.27%28.57%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.32%EV -3.66%E -1.57%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.08%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.60%EV -2.41%E -0.642%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -4.49%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 14:15
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.54%EV -4.49%E -1.94%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.53%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 14:15
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 10:09
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:15
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.60%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:15
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 09:24
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -4.90%E -2.13%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 14:20
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:29
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:30
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.41%EV -5.73%E -2.51%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 14:54
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 14:20
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:29
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:29
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -3.54%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:15
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:30
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.62%EV -6.48%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:15
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -6.15%E -2.14%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:15
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:53
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 09:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 09:24
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 09:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 09:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.97%E -3.10%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 09:40
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.56%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.17%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:29
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -7.80%E -3.50%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 10:14
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:20
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.18%EV -8.21%E -3.70%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -5.83%E -2.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.97%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 14:15
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -8.44%E -3.02%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -6.81%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:30
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.04%E -4.11%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -10.08%E -3.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.16%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 14:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -6.57%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-21 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.17%E -6.27%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -11.71%E -4.34%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -19.54%E -6.30%K -9.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.40%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.12%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.31%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.31%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.42%0.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.22%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%1.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.68%2.5%2026-02-21 14:55