Language:English
Peterborough United v Doncaster Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 34.57%2.89fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.802%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.92%34.49%34.55%35.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.722.712.8540.00%36.80%36.90%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Doncaster Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 40.56%2.47fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.50%40.62%40.57%41.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.90%43.86%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.172%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.44%24.89%24.88%26.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.683.704.0030.77%27.15%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 34.57%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 40.56%; Draw: 24.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.516%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.644%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -8.33%E -3.69%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 13:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.55%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.95%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.55%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.95%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-02 13:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.05%EV -1.51%E -0.381%K -0.510%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.32%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -7.11%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 13:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-02 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.50%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.00%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-02 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.516%E -0.129%K -0.172%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 13:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.19%EV -8.33%E -3.69%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -14.82%E -7.06%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -19.17%E -5.90%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.58%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.34% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.97% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 13:55 |