La escuela de los momios

Peterborough United v Doncaster Rovers

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 1–3 Doncaster Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Peterborough United (Local)

Predicción 34.57%2.89momio equitativo
EV -1.48%
Ventaja -0.521%
Kelly -0.802%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.92%34.49%34.55%35.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.712.8540.00%36.80%36.90%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 40.56%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.50%40.62%40.57%41.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.282.3847.62%43.90%43.86%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.87%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.516%
Ventaja -0.129%
Kelly -0.172%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.44%24.89%24.88%26.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.683.704.0030.77%27.15%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:25
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:25
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -1.48%E -0.521%K -0.802%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 13:25
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.18%EV -1.83%E -0.644%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.69%EV -8.33%E -3.69%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:25
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:25
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:25
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.86%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:25
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%EV -3.21%E -1.15%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.71%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.71%E -3.30%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 13:31
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.66%EV -3.90%E -1.40%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:50
LowVig.ag2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
BetUS2.76I 36.23%NM 34.16%EV -4.59%E -1.66%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.35%EV -7.52%E -3.30%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -4.68%E -1.99%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:46
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:45
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.55%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.95%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -4.94%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -9.55%E -4.28%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -12.95%E -3.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 13:25
Pinnacle2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.63%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.06%EV -5.90%E -2.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.05%EV -1.51%E -0.381%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.41%EV -6.32%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.72%EV -7.11%E -3.11%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -3.46%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:50
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.44%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:40
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 13:35
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:45
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 13:45
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.98%E -2.16%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 13:46
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -6.67%E -2.47%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 13:34
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.50%EV -3.87%E -1.63%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.17%EV -7.48%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 13:55
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -3.00%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -4.25%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:45
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -8.40%E -3.17%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 13:35
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -0.516%E -0.129%K -0.172%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.43%E -3.60%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.46%E -2.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 13:45
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.71%E -2.92%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.74%E -3.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.49%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 13:55
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.19%EV -8.33%E -3.69%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -9.22%E -2.53%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -10.13%E -3.89%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -14.82%E -7.06%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -19.17%E -5.90%K -8.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-02 13:56
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.34%EV -13.58%E -5.43%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -12.79%E -5.95%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%EV -6.73%E -1.80%K -2.45%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-02 13:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-02 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-02 13:56
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.34%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%2.5%2026-05-02 13:55