Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 38.91%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 35.04%; Draw: 26.05%. For Peterborough United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.776%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53%EV -0.776%E -0.304%K -0.501%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.11%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%EV -5.45%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 14:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.27%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -8.32%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.27%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -8.32%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-12 23:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-18 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 14:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 14:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-13 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 08:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-12 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-12 23:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-18 12:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 14:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-18 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.73%E -4.19%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.73%E -4.19%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.03%E -0.270%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-18 14:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-18 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-18 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.39%E -4.96%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-18 08:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.56%EV -10.89%E -4.76%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.18%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 08:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.29% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.05% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |