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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Peterborough United v Doncaster Rovers

Inicio: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 0–2 Doncaster Rovers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Predicción 38.91%2.57momio equitativo
EV -0.776%
Ventaja -0.304%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.24%38.84%38.90%40.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.292.382.372.5543.67%42.04%42.19%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 35.04%2.85momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.32%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.08%35.07%35.03%36.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.652.7540.00%37.63%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.05%3.84momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.270%
Kelly -0.366%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.41%26.09%26.07%27.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.553.523.8029.85%28.20%28.41%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Peterborough United (Local): 38.91%; Doncaster Rovers (Visitante): 35.04%; Empate: 26.05%. Para Peterborough United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.55, con un valor esperado de -0.776%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.53%EV -0.776%E -0.304%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.11%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.36%EV -5.45%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
BetUS🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.24%EV -1.94%E -0.771%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.55%EV -7.49%E -2.84%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 15:04
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 14:04
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:09
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:10
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -8.32%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.63%EV -8.54%E -3.27%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -8.32%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 12:05
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 23:34
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 12:10
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 12:10
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:30
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 14:14
TAB🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -6.61%E -2.76%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 14:13
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 14:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -7.39%E -3.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.621%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 01:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.63%E -1.32%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 08:40
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.38%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -4.93%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 12:15
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.63%E -0.981%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 12:10
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 12:10
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-18 12:09
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:09
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 12:15
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:09
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.97%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.89%E -3.42%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.54%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:14
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -8.56%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.42%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-18 14:15
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.74%EV -9.34%E -4.01%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.32%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-12 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.73%E -4.19%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.84%EV -9.73%E -4.19%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.26%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.75%E -3.80%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.33%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.27%EV -7.84%E -2.98%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -1.03%E -0.270%K -0.366%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.23%E -1.73%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 12:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.63%EV -8.19%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.84%E -2.53%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.50%E -4.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.39%E -4.96%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.44%E -3.37%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 08:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 39.56%EV -10.89%E -4.76%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.18%EV -7.14%E -2.69%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -10.14%E -2.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.01%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67%1.2%2026-09-18 15:00
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.29%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.05%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-09-18 15:00